Tomorrow we will have the chance to watch the best thoroughbreds of all time come together in the dream race of a lifetime, but it comes as no surprise that Secretariat is the odds-on favorite for the Triple Crown Showdown tomorrow with current odds of 7-2. Citation follows him at 4-1; Affirmed and Seattle Slew at 5-1 and Whirlaway, Count Fleet and American Pharoah at 6-1. The longshots here are Omaha, Gallant Fox and Assault at 20-1. Post time is 5:45 tomorrow, May 2nd.
Who will win?
According to Steve Rogers, CCO of Virtual Sports for Inspired Entertainment:
“We calculated probabilities for each of the 13 horses to win the race based on all of the available data points: Their past form, their performance under certain weather conditions, their opponents, and so on, in order to create theoretical probabilities.”
Tech Republic
Of course, there will always be intangibles with a horse race of this magnitude. The algorithm is set, the probability has been determined, but all bets are off once the starting gate opens.
“We feed that information into our virtual sports platform and generate a random number that we map against the probability range, meaning that while the result is random, it is more likely that the horse with the highest probability will win the race and least likely that the horse with the lowest probability will win the race. But as with any random draw, and with the magic of the Kentucky Derby, any horse could win this race.”
Steve Rogers in Tech Republic
Through the Kentucky Derby: Triple Crown Showdown, the Churchill Downs Foundation is supporting COVID-19 relief & is matching every dollar donated up to $1,000,000. Plus, all donors will receive a code to get $20 when they bet $20 or more on the May 2nd Arkansas Derby from Twinspires.com. Your contribution will support Team Kentucky Fund and Direct Relief.
Just for fun, let’s watch some of the past Kentucky Derbies. I’ve chosen some of the older ones that you might not have seen before.
Who are you betting on tomorrow?